Mantis

Sports Prediction Markets

2026 FIFA World Cup — Winner Odds Compared

The same team trades at different probabilities on Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless. Spain leads at 13.8% on Polymarket with $3.7M in daily volume. Argentina, France, and England are clustered between 11–20%. Click any team to see live odds across every venue.

Search any World Cup market in plain English →

All 8 contenders — live market odds

Click a team to see the full cross-venue comparison: current probabilities, liquidity, spread, and direct trade links on each venue.

Why cross-venue odds matter

Same team, different prices

Argentina can be 11.8% on Polymarket and 13% on Limitless — a meaningful gap on a $2.6M/day market. Mantis detects these differences automatically.

8 teams, 4 venues, one search

Mantis aggregates World Cup winner contracts from Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, and Myriad in a single natural-language search. No tab-switching.

Route to the best line

Every market card links to the highest-liquidity venue. For agents, the MCP API returns route_market results with execute_url for direct trade handoff.

FAQ

Where are the best World Cup 2026 prediction market odds?

Polymarket has the highest liquidity for most World Cup winner contracts — Spain and Argentina markets each have $200K+ liquidity. However, Myriad and Limitless often price the same outcome differently, sometimes by 3–8 percentage points. Mantis shows all venues side by side so you always find the sharpest line.

Who is the favourite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup according to prediction markets?

As of June 2026, France leads at ~19.7% on Polymarket, followed by Spain (~13.8%), England (~12.6%), and Argentina (~11.8%). These probabilities update in real time and differ across venues — the same team can be priced 3–5 percentage points apart on Polymarket vs Myriad.

How are World Cup prediction markets different from traditional sports betting?

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on blockchain or regulated exchange rails — prices are driven by real-money buying and selling rather than a bookmaker setting the line. Cross-venue price gaps (e.g. France at 19.7% on Polymarket vs 21% on Limitless) represent real arbitrage opportunities that Mantis detects automatically.

Can I track multiple World Cup markets in one place?

Yes. Mantis aggregates all eight major World Cup winner markets — Spain, France, Argentina, England, Netherlands, Germany, Portugal, and Brazil — from Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, and Myriad. Each team has a dedicated market page with live odds, liquidity, and direct trade links.