Prediction Markets

Political Prediction Markets — 2026 Midterms & More

The 2026 US midterms are 5 months out and prediction market prices for House and Senate control vary across Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt. Mantis queries all venues at once so you always see the full cross-venue picture — not just one platform's line.

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Why cross-venue comparison matters

Same market, different prices

Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless often price the same outcome differently — sometimes by 3–8 percentage points. Mantis finds the gap automatically.

Best line, not just any line

Every market card links to the highest-liquidity venue first so you can execute on the tightest spread, not just the venue you happen to use.

One search, all venues

Type any question at mantiss.store — no account required. The MCP API lets AI agents route market questions programmatically.

Featured Political Prediction Markets — 2026 Midterms & More

Markets below are sorted by liquidity. Click a title to see the full cross-venue comparison — current probabilities, spread, and direct trade links.

Polymarket

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

62% YES

Liquidity $2.4M

Polymarket

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

30% YES

Liquidity $1.8M

Polymarket

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

9% YES

Liquidity $1.6M

Polymarket

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election

1% YES

Liquidity $980K

Polymarket

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027

16% YES

Liquidity $945K

Polymarket

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026

3% YES

Liquidity $710K

Polymarket

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination

1% YES

Liquidity $656K

Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026

2% YES

Liquidity $649K

Polymarket

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026

37% YES

Liquidity $436K

Polymarket

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026

63% YES

Liquidity $344K

Polymarket

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election

13% YES

Liquidity $289K

Polymarket

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12

95% YES

Liquidity $248K

Polymarket

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026

70% YES

Liquidity $215K

Polymarket

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31

75% YES

Liquidity $181K

Polymarket

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel

1% YES

Liquidity $152K

Polymarket

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026

2% YES

Liquidity $149K

Polymarket

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms

73% YES

Liquidity $127K

Polymarket

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15

92% YES

Liquidity $121K

See all 2026 US Midterm Election markets →

All Politics Prediction Market Hubs

Every curated politics hub — each with live cross-venue odds, market context, and FAQ. Jump to a topic to compare prices across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless and more.

2026 US Midterms2028 US PresidentUS Senate 2026US House 2026Government Shutdown 2026Venezuela 2026UK Politics 2026Mexico 20262028 Democratic PrimaryUkraine 2026Taiwan 2026Iran 2026North Korea 2026Immigration 2026India 2026

FAQ

Where can I find 2026 midterm prediction markets?

Mantis aggregates midterm markets (House control, Senate control, individual Senate seats) from Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt. Prices often differ by 2–5 percentage points across venues — Mantis detects these gaps automatically.

Does Mantis route trades directly?

Mantis is a comparison and routing layer — the final trade happens on your chosen venue. Every outbound link preserves referral attribution so the platform earns from your click.