Same market, different prices
Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless often price the same outcome differently — sometimes by 3–8 percentage points. Mantis finds the gap automatically.
Prediction Markets
Macro Prediction Markets — Fed Rates, CPI & More
Federal Reserve rate decisions, CPI prints, and recession probability markets are live on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt — often at meaningfully different prices. Mantis queries all venues at once and flags cross-venue price gaps so you always find the sharpest available line on macro events.
Why cross-venue comparison matters
Best line, not just any line
Every market card links to the highest-liquidity venue first so you can execute on the tightest spread, not just the venue you happen to use.
One search, all venues
Type any question at mantiss.store — no account required. The MCP API lets AI agents route market questions programmatically.
Featured Macro Prediction Markets — Fed Rates, CPI & More
Markets below are sorted by liquidity. Click a title to see the full cross-venue comparison — current probabilities, spread, and direct trade links.
Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting
39% YES
Liquidity $563K
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting
57% YES
Liquidity $481K
Polymarket
Fed rate hike in 2026
66% YES
Liquidity $418K
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting
1% YES
Liquidity $185K
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting
2% YES
Liquidity $155K
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting
1% YES
Liquidity $139K
Polymarket
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026
89% YES
Liquidity $113K
Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
64% YES
Liquidity $75K
Polymarket
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting
4% YES
Liquidity $25K
Polymarket
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)
53% YES
Liquidity $23K
Polymarket
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026
37% YES
Liquidity $23K
Polymarket
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting
97% YES
Liquidity $11K
Polymarket
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting
99% YES
Liquidity $8K
All Macro Prediction Market Hubs
Every curated macro hub — each with live cross-venue odds, market context, and FAQ. Jump to a topic to compare prices across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless and more.
Fed Rate Decisions 2026Inflation / CPI 2026US Jobs & Unemployment 2026Treasury Yields 2026US Recession 2026S&P 500 / Stocks 2026China Economy 2026Gold 2026Silver 2026Copper 2026Japan (BOJ/Yen/Nikkei) 2026Natural Gas 2026Eurozone / ECB 2026India Economy 2026Oil 2026US Dollar 2026Tariffs 2026US Debt 2026Housing 2026Crypto Regulation 2026Cybersecurity 2026Biotech 2026Health / FDA 2026Climate 2026
FAQ
What Fed rate prediction markets are available?
Mantis tracks Fed rate cut/hike markets with resolution dates across the full 2026 FOMC calendar. The same outcome can trade at 1–3 percentage points apart between Kalshi and Polymarket, reflecting different liquidity and market-maker models.
How can macro traders use Mantis?
Type any macro question in plain English — "Fed cut before September", "CPI above 3% in June" — and Mantis routes you to the best-priced market across Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, and more. No account needed to search.