Mantis

crypto market

Spot XRP ETF approved in the US in 2026

Mantis shows this market across 2 venues side by side. Highest: 60% (Polymarket). Lowest: 58% (Kalshi). Spread: 2 percentage points.

Start from all categories or jump back to crypto prediction markets if you want adjacent contracts with similar timing or resolution rules.

Current venue comparison

Market snapshot

Question wording

Will a spot XRP ETF be approved in the US in 2026?

Resolution window

Dec 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC

Confidence: high

Assets and settlement

Assets: XRP

Chain: Polygon · Collateral: USDC

Best liquidity right now

Polymarket currently shows the deepest visible liquidity at $840K.

Resolution details

Cross-venue spread: 2 percentage points across 2 venues.

Resolution trigger

The SEC must approve at least one spot XRP ETF for US listing before the cutoff.

Resolution source

SEC filings and official approval notices.

Restrictions

US persons may be blocked by source platform

Related listings

Related listings show the same market across different venues so you can compare odds, liquidity, and trade on the best-priced platform.

More Crypto markets →

FAQ

What is the current probability for "Spot XRP ETF approved in the US in 2026"?

As of this page load, Polymarket prices this at 60% and Kalshi at 58%. Cross-venue probability differences reflect liquidity and market-maker pricing differences.

How does Mantis compare prediction market odds across venues?

Mantis runs a single natural-language search across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad, SX Bet, and PredictIt simultaneously. It normalises market identifiers across venues and displays probability, liquidity, and spread side by side so you can find the best available price without switching tabs.

Can I trade this market directly from Mantis?

Mantis is a routing and comparison layer — not a trading venue. Click any venue link to trade directly on that platform with your existing account. Mantis preserves your referral attribution on every outbound link.