Polymarket
30% YES
Liquidity $320K
24h Vol $52K
crypto market
A US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is established in 2026
Mantis shows this market across 2 venues side by side. Highest: 30% (Polymarket). Lowest: 27% (Kalshi). Spread: 3 percentage points.
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Current venue comparison
Kalshi
27% YES
Liquidity $130K
24h Vol $28K
Market snapshot
Question wording
Will a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve be established in 2026?
Resolution window
Dec 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC
Confidence: medium
Assets and settlement
Assets: BTC, US reserves
Chain: Polygon · Collateral: USDC
Best liquidity right now
Polymarket currently shows the deepest visible liquidity at $320K.
Resolution details
Cross-venue spread: 3 percentage points across 2 venues.
Resolution trigger
The US must formally establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve before the cutoff.
Resolution source
US government / official record.
Restrictions
US persons may be blocked by source platform
Related listings
Related listings show the same market across different venues so you can compare odds, liquidity, and trade on the best-priced platform.
Polymarket
A US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is established in 2026
30% YES
Liquidity $320K
Kalshi
A US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is established in 2026
27% YES
Liquidity $130K
FAQ
What is the current probability for "A US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is established in 2026"?
As of this page load, Polymarket prices this at 30% and Kalshi at 27%. Cross-venue probability differences reflect liquidity and market-maker pricing differences.
How does Mantis compare prediction market odds across venues?
Mantis runs a single natural-language search across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad, SX Bet, and PredictIt simultaneously. It normalises market identifiers across venues and displays probability, liquidity, and spread side by side so you can find the best available price without switching tabs.
Can I trade this market directly from Mantis?
Mantis is a routing and comparison layer — not a trading venue. Click any venue link to trade directly on that platform with your existing account. Mantis preserves your referral attribution on every outbound link.