Mantis

politics market

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election

8% YES on Polymarket. Mantis compares this market across venues with live odds and liquidity data.

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Current venue comparison

Market snapshot

Question wording

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Resolution window

Nov 7, 2028, 12:00 AM UTC

Confidence: medium

Assets and settlement

Assets: General market basket

Chain: Polygon · Collateral: USDC

Best liquidity right now

Polymarket currently shows the deepest visible liquidity at $368K.

Resolution details

Resolution trigger

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

Resolution source

for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC

Restrictions

Source venue may restrict some jurisdictions

Related listings

Related listings show the same market across different venues so you can compare odds, liquidity, and trade on the best-priced platform.

More Politics markets →

FAQ

What is the current probability for "Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election"?

Polymarket currently prices this at 8% YES. Mantis checks additional venues for any cross-platform price differences.

How does Mantis compare prediction market odds across venues?

Mantis runs a single natural-language search across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad, SX Bet, and PredictIt simultaneously. It normalises market identifiers across venues and displays probability, liquidity, and spread side by side so you can find the best available price without switching tabs.

Can I trade this market directly from Mantis?

Mantis is a routing and comparison layer — not a trading venue. Click any venue link to trade directly on that platform with your existing account. Mantis preserves your referral attribution on every outbound link.