Polymarket
34% YES
Liquidity $920K
24h Vol $120K
politics market
JD Vance is the 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Mantis shows this market across 2 venues side by side. Highest: 34% (Polymarket). Lowest: 32% (Kalshi). Spread: 2 percentage points.
Start from all categories or jump back to politics prediction markets if you want adjacent contracts with similar timing or resolution rules.
Current venue comparison
Kalshi
32% YES
Liquidity $280K
24h Vol $56K
Market snapshot
Question wording
Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
Resolution window
Aug 31, 2028, 23:59 UTC
Confidence: medium
Assets and settlement
Assets: 2028 election, JD Vance
Chain: Polygon · Collateral: USDC
Best liquidity right now
Polymarket currently shows the deepest visible liquidity at $920K.
Resolution details
Cross-venue spread: 2 percentage points across 2 venues.
Resolution trigger
JD Vance must become the Republican Party nominee for the 2028 presidential election.
Resolution source
Republican National Convention result.
Restrictions
US persons may be blocked by source platform
Related listings
Related listings show the same market across different venues so you can compare odds, liquidity, and trade on the best-priced platform.
Polymarket
JD Vance is the 2028 Republican presidential nominee
34% YES
Liquidity $920K
Kalshi
JD Vance is the 2028 Republican presidential nominee
32% YES
Liquidity $280K
FAQ
What is the current probability for "JD Vance is the 2028 Republican presidential nominee"?
As of this page load, Polymarket prices this at 34% and Kalshi at 32%. Cross-venue probability differences reflect liquidity and market-maker pricing differences.
How does Mantis compare prediction market odds across venues?
Mantis runs a single natural-language search across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad, SX Bet, and PredictIt simultaneously. It normalises market identifiers across venues and displays probability, liquidity, and spread side by side so you can find the best available price without switching tabs.
Can I trade this market directly from Mantis?
Mantis is a routing and comparison layer — not a trading venue. Click any venue link to trade directly on that platform with your existing account. Mantis preserves your referral attribution on every outbound link.