Polymarket
58% YES
Liquidity $420K
24h Vol $68K
ai market
NVIDIA holds a $3 trillion market cap through 2026
Mantis shows this market across 2 venues side by side. Highest: 58% (Polymarket). Lowest: 55% (Kalshi). Spread: 3 percentage points.
Start from all categories or jump back to ai prediction markets if you want adjacent contracts with similar timing or resolution rules.
Current venue comparison
Kalshi
55% YES
Liquidity $150K
24h Vol $28K
Market snapshot
Question wording
Will NVIDIA maintain a $3 trillion market cap through 2026?
Resolution window
Dec 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC
Confidence: medium
Assets and settlement
Assets: NVDA
Chain: Polygon · Collateral: USDC
Best liquidity right now
Polymarket currently shows the deepest visible liquidity at $420K.
Resolution details
Cross-venue spread: 3 percentage points across 2 venues.
Resolution trigger
NVIDIA must close calendar 2026 with a market capitalization at or above $3 trillion.
Resolution source
Nasdaq closing price multiplied by shares outstanding.
Restrictions
US persons may be blocked by source platform
Related listings
Related listings show the same market across different venues so you can compare odds, liquidity, and trade on the best-priced platform.
Polymarket
NVIDIA holds a $3 trillion market cap through 2026
58% YES
Liquidity $420K
Kalshi
NVIDIA holds a $3 trillion market cap through 2026
55% YES
Liquidity $150K
FAQ
What is the current probability for "NVIDIA holds a $3 trillion market cap through 2026"?
As of this page load, Polymarket prices this at 58% and Kalshi at 55%. Cross-venue probability differences reflect liquidity and market-maker pricing differences.
How does Mantis compare prediction market odds across venues?
Mantis runs a single natural-language search across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad, SX Bet, and PredictIt simultaneously. It normalises market identifiers across venues and displays probability, liquidity, and spread side by side so you can find the best available price without switching tabs.
Can I trade this market directly from Mantis?
Mantis is a routing and comparison layer — not a trading venue. Click any venue link to trade directly on that platform with your existing account. Mantis preserves your referral attribution on every outbound link.