Mantis

macro market

Nasdaq-100 hits a record high in 2026

Mantis shows this market across 2 venues side by side. Highest: 66% (Polymarket). Lowest: 63% (Kalshi). Spread: 3 percentage points.

Start from all categories or jump back to macro prediction markets if you want adjacent contracts with similar timing or resolution rules.

Current venue comparison

Market snapshot

Question wording

Will the Nasdaq-100 hit a record high in 2026?

Resolution window

Dec 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC

Confidence: high

Assets and settlement

Assets: Nasdaq-100

Chain: Polygon · Collateral: USDC

Best liquidity right now

Polymarket currently shows the deepest visible liquidity at $340K.

Resolution details

Cross-venue spread: 3 percentage points across 2 venues.

Resolution trigger

The Nasdaq-100 index must set a new intraday or closing all-time high on any 2026 trading day.

Resolution source

Nasdaq official index level.

Restrictions

US persons may be blocked by source platform

Related listings

Related listings show the same market across different venues so you can compare odds, liquidity, and trade on the best-priced platform.

More Macro markets →

FAQ

What is the current probability for "Nasdaq-100 hits a record high in 2026"?

As of this page load, Polymarket prices this at 66% and Kalshi at 63%. Cross-venue probability differences reflect liquidity and market-maker pricing differences.

How does Mantis compare prediction market odds across venues?

Mantis runs a single natural-language search across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad, SX Bet, and PredictIt simultaneously. It normalises market identifiers across venues and displays probability, liquidity, and spread side by side so you can find the best available price without switching tabs.

Can I trade this market directly from Mantis?

Mantis is a routing and comparison layer — not a trading venue. Click any venue link to trade directly on that platform with your existing account. Mantis preserves your referral attribution on every outbound link.