Polymarket
70% YES
Liquidity $180K
24h Vol $28K
ai market
TSMC begins volume production of 2nm chips in 2026
Mantis shows this market across 2 venues side by side. Highest: 70% (Polymarket). Lowest: 67% (Kalshi). Spread: 3 percentage points.
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Current venue comparison
Kalshi
67% YES
Liquidity $70K
24h Vol $14K
Market snapshot
Question wording
Will TSMC begin volume production of 2nm chips in 2026?
Resolution window
Dec 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC
Confidence: high
Assets and settlement
Assets: TSMC, semiconductors
Chain: Polygon · Collateral: USDC
Best liquidity right now
Polymarket currently shows the deepest visible liquidity at $180K.
Resolution details
Cross-venue spread: 3 percentage points across 2 venues.
Resolution trigger
TSMC must begin high-volume manufacturing of its 2nm (N2) process before the cutoff.
Resolution source
TSMC official announcements.
Restrictions
US persons may be blocked by source platform
Related listings
Related listings show the same market across different venues so you can compare odds, liquidity, and trade on the best-priced platform.
Polymarket
TSMC begins volume production of 2nm chips in 2026
70% YES
Liquidity $180K
Kalshi
TSMC begins volume production of 2nm chips in 2026
67% YES
Liquidity $70K
FAQ
What is the current probability for "TSMC begins volume production of 2nm chips in 2026"?
As of this page load, Polymarket prices this at 70% and Kalshi at 67%. Cross-venue probability differences reflect liquidity and market-maker pricing differences.
How does Mantis compare prediction market odds across venues?
Mantis runs a single natural-language search across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad, SX Bet, and PredictIt simultaneously. It normalises market identifiers across venues and displays probability, liquidity, and spread side by side so you can find the best available price without switching tabs.
Can I trade this market directly from Mantis?
Mantis is a routing and comparison layer — not a trading venue. Click any venue link to trade directly on that platform with your existing account. Mantis preserves your referral attribution on every outbound link.