Kalshi
38% YES
Liquidity $300K
24h Vol $62K
macro market
US CPI back to 2% by end of 2026
Mantis shows this market across 2 venues side by side. Highest: 38% (Kalshi). Lowest: 35% (Polymarket). Spread: 3 percentage points.
Start from all categories or jump back to macro prediction markets if you want adjacent contracts with similar timing or resolution rules.
Current venue comparison
Polymarket
35% YES
Liquidity $240K
24h Vol $38K
Market snapshot
Question wording
Will US CPI reach 2 percent by end of 2026?
Resolution window
Dec 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC
Confidence: medium
Assets and settlement
Assets: CPI
Chain: N/A (CFTC-regulated) · Collateral: USD
Best liquidity right now
Kalshi currently shows the deepest visible liquidity at $300K.
Resolution details
Cross-venue spread: 3 percentage points across 2 venues.
Resolution trigger
US headline CPI year-over-year must print at or below 2.0% for a 2026 reference month released before the cutoff.
Resolution source
Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI report.
Restrictions
US-only; identity verification required
Related listings
Related listings show the same market across different venues so you can compare odds, liquidity, and trade on the best-priced platform.
Kalshi
US CPI back to 2% by end of 2026
38% YES
Liquidity $300K
Polymarket
US CPI back to 2% by end of 2026
35% YES
Liquidity $240K
FAQ
What is the current probability for "US CPI back to 2% by end of 2026"?
As of this page load, Kalshi prices this at 38% and Polymarket at 35%. Cross-venue probability differences reflect liquidity and market-maker pricing differences.
How does Mantis compare prediction market odds across venues?
Mantis runs a single natural-language search across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad, SX Bet, and PredictIt simultaneously. It normalises market identifiers across venues and displays probability, liquidity, and spread side by side so you can find the best available price without switching tabs.
Can I trade this market directly from Mantis?
Mantis is a routing and comparison layer — not a trading venue. Click any venue link to trade directly on that platform with your existing account. Mantis preserves your referral attribution on every outbound link.