Polymarket
21% YES
Liquidity $520K
24h Vol $85K
politics market
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election
Mantis shows this market across 7 venues side by side. Highest: 21% (Polymarket). Lowest: 1% (Polymarket). Spread: 20 percentage points.
Start from all categories or jump back to politics prediction markets if you want adjacent contracts with similar timing or resolution rules.
Current venue comparison
Polymarket
1% YES
Liquidity $1.7M
24h Vol $14K
Polymarket
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Polymarket
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Polymarket
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Polymarket
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Polymarket
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Market snapshot
Question wording
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Resolution window
Nov 7, 2028, 12:00 AM UTC
Confidence: medium
Assets and settlement
Assets: General market basket
Chain: Polygon · Collateral: USDC
Best liquidity right now
Polymarket currently shows the deepest visible liquidity at $1.7M.
Resolution details
Cross-venue spread: 20 percentage points across 7 venues. This is a meaningful gap — the best price depends on which venue you use.
Resolution trigger
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
Resolution source
for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC
Restrictions
Source venue may restrict some jurisdictions
Related listings
Related listings show the same market across different venues so you can compare odds, liquidity, and trade on the best-priced platform.
Polymarket
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election
21% YES
Liquidity $520K
Polymarket
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election
1% YES
Liquidity $1.7M
Polymarket
Will Person BG win the 2028 US Presidential Election
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Polymarket
Will Person CZ win the 2028 US Presidential Election
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Polymarket
Will Person Q win the 2028 US Presidential Election
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Polymarket
Will Person AY win the 2028 US Presidential Election
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Polymarket
Will Person R win the 2028 US Presidential Election
1% YES
Liquidity $0
FAQ
What is the current probability for "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election"?
As of this page load, Polymarket prices this at 21% and Polymarket at 1%. Cross-venue probability differences reflect liquidity and market-maker pricing differences.
How does Mantis compare prediction market odds across venues?
Mantis runs a single natural-language search across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad, SX Bet, and PredictIt simultaneously. It normalises market identifiers across venues and displays probability, liquidity, and spread side by side so you can find the best available price without switching tabs.
Can I trade this market directly from Mantis?
Mantis is a routing and comparison layer — not a trading venue. Click any venue link to trade directly on that platform with your existing account. Mantis preserves your referral attribution on every outbound link.