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politics market

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections

Mantis shows this market across 6 venues side by side. Highest: 58% (Polymarket). Lowest: 1% (Polymarket). Spread: 57 percentage points.

Start from all categories or jump back to politics prediction markets if you want adjacent contracts with similar timing or resolution rules.

Current venue comparison

Market snapshot

Question wording

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Resolution window

Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Confidence: medium

Assets and settlement

Assets: General market basket

Chain: Polygon · Collateral: USDC

Best liquidity right now

Polymarket currently shows the deepest visible liquidity at $215K.

Resolution details

Cross-venue spread: 57 percentage points across 6 venues. This is a meaningful gap — the best price depends on which venue you use.

Resolution trigger

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.

Resolution source

a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results

Restrictions

Source venue may restrict some jurisdictions

Related listings

Related listings show the same market across different venues so you can compare odds, liquidity, and trade on the best-priced platform.

Polymarket

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections

44% YES

Liquidity $215K

Polymarket

Will Party A control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections

1% YES

Liquidity $0

Polymarket

Will Party B control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections

1% YES

Liquidity $0

Polymarket

Will Party C control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections

1% YES

Liquidity $0

Polymarket

Will Party D control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections

1% YES

Liquidity $0

More Politics markets →

FAQ

What is the current probability for "Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections"?

As of this page load, Polymarket prices this at 58% and Polymarket at 1%. Cross-venue probability differences reflect liquidity and market-maker pricing differences.

How does Mantis compare prediction market odds across venues?

Mantis runs a single natural-language search across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad, SX Bet, and PredictIt simultaneously. It normalises market identifiers across venues and displays probability, liquidity, and spread side by side so you can find the best available price without switching tabs.

Can I trade this market directly from Mantis?

Mantis is a routing and comparison layer — not a trading venue. Click any venue link to trade directly on that platform with your existing account. Mantis preserves your referral attribution on every outbound link.