Polymarket
58% YES
Liquidity $179K
politics market
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections
Mantis shows this market across 6 venues side by side. Highest: 58% (Polymarket). Lowest: 1% (Polymarket). Spread: 57 percentage points.
Start from all categories or jump back to politics prediction markets if you want adjacent contracts with similar timing or resolution rules.
Current venue comparison
Polymarket
42% YES
Liquidity $218K
Polymarket
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Polymarket
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Polymarket
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Polymarket
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Market snapshot
Question wording
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Resolution window
Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Confidence: medium
Assets and settlement
Assets: General market basket
Chain: Polygon · Collateral: USDC
Best liquidity right now
Polymarket currently shows the deepest visible liquidity at $218K.
Resolution details
Cross-venue spread: 57 percentage points across 6 venues. This is a meaningful gap — the best price depends on which venue you use.
Resolution trigger
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.
Resolution source
a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results
Restrictions
Source venue may restrict some jurisdictions
Related listings
Related listings show the same market across different venues so you can compare odds, liquidity, and trade on the best-priced platform.
Polymarket
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections
58% YES
Liquidity $179K
Polymarket
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections
42% YES
Liquidity $218K
Polymarket
Will Party A control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Polymarket
Will Party B control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Polymarket
Will Party C control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections
1% YES
Liquidity $0
Polymarket
Will Party D control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections
1% YES
Liquidity $0
FAQ
What is the current probability for "Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections"?
As of this page load, Polymarket prices this at 58% and Polymarket at 1%. Cross-venue probability differences reflect liquidity and market-maker pricing differences.
How does Mantis compare prediction market odds across venues?
Mantis runs a single natural-language search across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad, SX Bet, and PredictIt simultaneously. It normalises market identifiers across venues and displays probability, liquidity, and spread side by side so you can find the best available price without switching tabs.
Can I trade this market directly from Mantis?
Mantis is a routing and comparison layer — not a trading venue. Click any venue link to trade directly on that platform with your existing account. Mantis preserves your referral attribution on every outbound link.